AMD Claims Moore’s Law Is Not Dead; Against Industry Beliefs
Moore’s Law is the prediction made by Intel Co-founder, Gordon Moore. He said that computing power will double every two years due to the development of technology and the shrinking size of transistors. We have talked about new research and development in transistor technology and how carbon nanotube transistors have for the first time outperformed silicon by a fair margin.
Although it has been 50 years since Moore’s Law, the prediction has been a very accurate guideline for the company and for the industry as a whole as well. Intel CEO Brian Krzanich, last year talked about how the company will be moving away from the prediction now and that the time span of two years has now increased to two and a half years. The industry now believes that Moore’s Law is on its last leg.
Despite AMD being one of the big rivals of Intel, it seems that the company disagrees with this fact and they believe that Moore’s Law is not dead, at least not yet. Here is what the AMD’s CTO, Mark Papermaster, had to say about the matter at hand.
“Some people have said Moore’s Law is dead, so my question to them is: so how can you do a generation leap [in chips]? Moore’s Law is not dead.”
The AMD CTO made his beliefs be known to all and he claims that transistor size is not the only factor that is to be considered here. He further goes on to say the following:
“It’s not just about the transistor anymore; we can’t just have transistors improving every cycle. It does take semiconductor transistor improvements, but the elements that we do in design in architecture, and how we put solutions together, also keep in line [with] a Moore’s Law pace.
Papermaster has dubbed this Moore’s Law Plus. And he goes on to explain what he means by this.
“Moore’s Law Plus means you stay in a Moore’s Law pace of computing improvement. So you can keep in with a Moore’s Law cycle but you don’t rely on just semiconductor chips, you do it with a combination of other techniques.”
Other techniques refer to CPU and GPU combinations as well as their design and architecture. Keeping all this in mind it is safe to say that there is still room for innovation. Papermaster also talked about how far the industry has developed in terms of VR. Papermaster believes that VR technology will advance dramatically over the course of the next decade.
“Like any technological evolution, you’re going to see an improvement in every generation, which is typically a 12-month cycle, so it won’t be a single leap and then we suddenly have life-like interaction.”
Long story short, AMD does not believe that Moore’s Law is dead. The company claims that there is more to the prediction than what people think. AMD CTO has made a valid argument but this is a debate that can go both ways. This is one of those questions that only time can answer. We will have to see what the future holds.